Thomson Reuters Accurately Predicts Three Nobel Prizewinners

Unmatched Quality and Depth of Data Creates Primary Indicator for Predictions

Philadelphia, PA, London, UK – The Scientific business of Thomson Reuters accurately predicted three of the four science Nobel Prizes this year -- in Physiology or Medicine, in Chemistry and in Economics. The predictions were made using data from Web of Science®, truly the largest and most comprehensive citation database available.

Roger Tsien, winner of the Chemistry prize, was predicted in September to be a contender for his work with Green Fluorescent Protein. Luc Montagnier, winner of the prize in Physiology or Medicine, has long been on the list of probable winners at Thomson Reuters. Montagnier was named a Citation Laureate in 1989 for his discovery of the AIDS virus. The Economics prize went to Paul Krugman, a Citation Laureate since 2006, for his contribution to international trade theory.

“Our successful predictions illustrate how Web of Science covers the most significant scientific research in all disciplines, across all time spans,” said David Pendlebury, Research Services, Thomson Reuters. “Our prediction method, using citation counts as its fundamental point of departure, has over the years proven to be an accurate measure of research success and of Nobelists-to-be"

Since 1989, the Scientific business of Thomson Reuters has had a successful track record of predicting Nobel Prize winners, in part by using data found in Web of Science and Essential Science Indicators, a database for quantitative analysis of performance and trends in global research. Web of Science maintains the highest quality through a rigorous selection process, while also being the most comprehensive citation database with unmatched backfile depth. Such backfiles, going back as far as 1900 for some journals, provide access to millions of valuable source items and cited references, including those seminal works that still remain the foundation of today’s research.

Web of Science spans more than a century of cutting-edge research and provides straightforward access to the world’s leading journals and conference proceedings with more than 44 million source records and 700 million references.

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