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Super Bowl: How Often Do Big Favorites Win?


22 favored by 7-points or more: 17 won the game.

Las Vegas, Nevada (1/19/09) – Super Bowl XLIII is here, and the Pittsburgh Steelers are 7-point favorites over the Arizona Cardinals. RJ Bell of has dug into his archives and uncovered a number of noteworthy Super Bowl point-spread betting facts.

In the prior 42 Super Bowls, there’s been 22 teams favored by 7-points or more. 17 of those 22 favorites won the game outright. The favorites covered 11 games, lost 9, and tied 2 against the Vegas pointspread.

RJ Bell of said: “Considering the Super Bowl ideally matches up the two best teams in the league, it’s surprising that there’s been a team favored by at least a touchdown more than half the time.

The largest favorite in Super Bowl history came in Super Bowl XXIX. San Francisco was favored by 19 points over the San Diego Chargers; the 49ers won that game 49-26.

The biggest underdog to win a Super Bowl was the New York Jets, famously upsetting the Baltimore Colts as a 17-point underdog in Super Bowl III.

Las Vegas says the Steelers have a 72% to win this year’s game. Read about it here:

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About RJ Bell of
RJ Bell, president of, has been featured on CBS News with Katie Couric, ABC News with Charles Gibson, Nightline, Sportscenter, Outside the Lines (ESPN), First Take (ESPN2),, ESPN National Radio, Yahoo,, and in Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, LA Times,, Bloomberg, Maxim, and Forbes.



 Pittsburgh Steelers
 Arizona Cardinals
 Super Bowl XLIII
 Sports Betting
 NFL Betting

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