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Patriots – Biggest Favorites in NFL History?


Sports betting expert RJ Bell, the only sports bettor on Forbes’ recent list of Gambling Gurus, provides the true point spread numbers behind the biggest favorites in NFL history.

Las Vegas, Nevada (November 8, 2007) – The sports world is abuzz with talk of the pointspread dominance of the New England Patriots, but examination of the true odds show that in the eyes of Las Vegas the Patriots are far from the most dominate team in history.

(All data from 1980 onward)

* Biggest Underdog Line Ever: Bengals +23 at San Fran (12/5/93); San Fran Won 21 to 8.

* 2nd Biggest Underdog Ever: Tampa Bay (+20.5) at San Fran (12/19/92); San Fran Won 21 to 14

Note: Only 5 games with a line 20 or more since 1980.

* Biggest Dog of 2007: Buffalo +16.5 at New England (9/23/07); Patriots won 38 to 7

Note: 41 other teams have been at least 16.5 point favorites since 1980!

Biggest Home Dog Ever: Colts +16.5 hosting Bills (11/29/92); Colts won 16 to 13

Biggest Dog to Win the Game Outright: Redskins +17.5 at Dallas (12/3/95); Redskins won 24 to 17

Note: 6730 games in sample . . . 112 had lines of 14.5 or more (only 1.66 percent)

Note: 5 of a possible 112 dogs of 14.5 or more won the game outright.

Biggest Dog of 1980’s: Colts +20 at Chicago (12/8/85); Bears won 17 to 10

Biggest Dog of 2000’s: Panthers +20 at St. Louis Rams (11/11/2001); Rams won 48 to 14

Biggest Playoff Favorite: Super Bowl 29 Chargers +19 vs. 49ers (1/29/95); 49ers won 49-26

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Please attribute: RJ Bell of

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Special thanks to Marc Lawrence’s Playbook for assistance with this research.

RJ Bell, president of, has been featured on CBS News with Katie Couric, ABC News with Charles Gibson, Nightline, Sportscenter, Outside the Lines (ESPN), First Take (ESPN2),, ESPN National Radio,, – and in Wall Street Journal, Associated Press, LA Times,, Maxim, and Forbes.


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