NBA Ref Betting? 95% Proof of Abnormal Behavior!
Sports Gambling Expert Uncovers Startling Data Backing Allegations that Ref Abnormally Influenced NBA Games
Las Vegas, Nevada (July 20,2007) – The sports world is abuzz with talk of NBA referee Tim Donaghy, who is accused of betting on NBA games, and making calls to manipulate the final score of at least 10 games.
Sports Gambling expert RJ Bell, President of Pregame.com has uncovered these remarkable facts:
Over the last two seasons (reportedly the focus of the FBI’s investigation into this matter), the games refereed by Tim Donaghy scored more points than Las Vegas expected over 57 percent of the time (79 of 138 games). The odds of that happening randomly are 19 to 1.
Premise #1: The more fouls a referee calls, the more he affects the game.
Premise #2: There is an absolute correlation between the number of fouls a referee calls in an NBA game and the number of points scored by the teams. (The logic being that fouls result in free throws, which stop the clock and add points).
Conclusion: An NBA ref who intended to illicitly influence a game would do so by calling more fouls, and thus his games would be higher scoring than average.
Not only have Tim Donaghy’s games the last two seasons been higher scoring than average, they have been so to a degree that would happen naturally only quite rarely. Which means it can be stated fairly that Tim Donaghy’s on-court behavior the last two seasons has an over 95% probability of being abnormal!
Maybe Tim Donaghy has always called lots of fouls, some may suggest. In the two years prior to the two years the FBI is investigating, Tim Donaghy’s games scored more points than Las Vegas expected only 44% of the time!
ABOUT RJ BELL:
RJ Bell, President of Pregame.com, is a leading sports betting expert, and has been featured on ABC News, CNN, CNBC, and ESPN Radio. He’s also been profiled in dozens of publications, including The Washington Post, USA Today, Newsweek, and Maxim Magazine - and has even been quoted as an authority by H&R Block. RJ Bell is a 3-time world handicapping champion, and is the only sports bettor on Forbes’ recent list of Gambling Gurus!
Pregame.com is this country’s largest sports betting information website, and has been featured in The Chicago Tribune, Newsday, San Francisco Examiner, AOL.com, Playboy.com and NASCAR.com to name just a few. Players get ready with free picks & tips backed by superior customer service.
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