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Down Economy = Bloody 2009 Semiconductor Market


SCOTTSDALE, Ariz. - The global recession will wreak havoc on semiconductor sales this year, reports In-Stat . Worldwide semiconductor revenue will decline by nearly 20% in 2009 to $199.2 billion, the high-tech market research firm says. The industry will not recover to 2007 levels until at least 2012.

“Declining confidence resulting from recent shocks and increased uncertainty about the future will lead to more conservative spending even after liquidity improves and the economic recovery is well underway,” says Jim McGregor, In-Stat analyst. “Restoring consumer and business confidence and overcoming excess capacity will be key to recovery and subsequent growth.”

Recent research by In-Stat found the following:

* Although recovery is expected to start in the second half of 2009, revenue growth in 2010 will be modest, at 11.8%.
* Digital Signal Processor (DSP) Revenue declined by 14.9% in 2008 to $6.6B, its lowest level since 2003.
* In its most recent cycle, semiconductor fab capacity utilization peaked at 90% early in 2008, and dropped to 87% in the third quarter.
* The downturn is expected to be deep enough, and long enough, for semiconductor capacity to ultimately fall, as a result of mergers, acquisitions, bailouts, restructuring, and other industry realignments.

Recent In-Stat research, Global Semiconductor Product Market Forecast—Help Wanted: Spenders and Lenders (#IN0904559SSF), covers the worldwide market for semiconductor products. It includes an in-depth global and regional economic analysis and resulting impacts on demand for semiconductors, how demand stacks up with projections for manufacturing capacity, and other factors affecting demand and pricing.

The research provides:

* Worldwide and regional GDP forecasts through 2013
* Semiconductor capital expenditure forecast through 2013
* Wafer fab capacity and utilization (includes trending for wafer starts)
* Worldwide semiconductor unit, ASP, and revenue forecasts through 2013
* Semiconductor revenue forecasts by region and by WSTS semiconductor product categories
* Top line semiconductor revenue forecast by end-use segment

For more information on this research or to purchase it online, please visit: or contact a sales representative:

The price is $2,995 (US).


* Title: Global Semiconductor Product Market Forecast—Help Wanted: Spenders and Lenders
* Service: Semiconductor Forecasts
* Product Number: IN0904559SSF
* Publication Date: February 2009
* Number of Pages: 91
* Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
* Abstract, Table of Contents, Figures & Tables
* Members Only Access: Full text HTML , PDF

Market Research from In-Stat

In-Stat offers a broad range of information resources and analytical assets to technology vendors, service providers, technology professionals, and market specialists worldwide. The company stands alone in its ability to integrate both supply-side and demand-side research methodologies into a single comprehensive view of technology markets and products. This capability relies on a unique ability to cover the entire value chain from engineering-level technology, through equipment, infrastructure, services and end-users.

In-Stat is a strategic segment of the $8 billion Reed Elsevier global information network, with access to an expansive worldwide electronic network, extensive technology databases and well-informed personnel. In-Stat analysts gain exceptional insight into geographic market places and specific technologies within markets such as electronics, cable and wireless. As a member of Reed Business Information, In-Stat is a division of the largest business-to-business publisher in the U.S.


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