55% Betting Cardinals over Steelers in Super Bowl XLIII
Pros backing Cards on point spread and Steelers on money line.
Las Vegas, Nevada (January 29, 2009) – Each year the Super Bowl is the largest single-day sports betting. Over $10 billion dollars is projected to be wagered on Super Bowl XLIII, by over 200 million individuals worldwide.
RJ Bell of Pregame.com said: “Based on bet data from a polling of sportsbooks, 55% of bettors have backed Arizona to date, with only 45% backing Pittsburgh.”
The single best possible Super Bowl betting advice is: If you like Arizona, play +7 on the point spread; if you like Pittsburgh, play minus 240 on the money line.
A noteworthy phenomenon occurs each Super Bowl: the moneyline odds for the game (i.e., no point spread considered - all that matters is which team wins) are significantly adjusted downward.
Typically, there’s a standard conversation between point spreads and money lines. For example, if a team is favored by 7-points like Pittsburgh, the standard money line would be in the range of -330.
RJ Bell of Pregame.com said: “For the Super Bowl, because a disproportionate number of casual bettors want to ’take-a-shot’ at the big underdog payoff, the moneyline is cheaper for the favorite and worse for the underdog than any other game of the year.”
Some pro bettors, understanding that money lines are skewed downward for the Super Bowl, will back the favorite on the money line; and, as a hedge, back the underdog on the point spread . . . creating an arbitrage!
This year, pros are betting Arizona + 7 and Pittsburgh -240 (instead of the typical -330 for a 7-point favorite). You don’t have to bet both, but if you want to bet like a pro, strongly consider playing the money line if you like the Steelers, and the point spread if you like the Cardinals.
For all of RJ Bell’s unique Super Bowl reporting, visit: http://pregame.com/forums/blogs/rj-bell/default.aspx
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RJ Bell of Pregame.com is the only sports bettor on Forbes’ recent list of Gambling Gurus and has been called “a true insider” by ESPN, “incredibly astute” by AOL and a “point-spread maven” by USA Today. Mr. Bell has been featured on CBS News with Katie Couric, ABC News with Charles Gibson, Nightline, Sportscenter, Outside the Lines (ESPN), First Take (ESPN2), Mike & Mike, Colin Cowherd, Jim Rome, Dan Patrick, ESPN.com, FoxSports.com, Yahoo, CNN.com and in the Wall Street Journal, Associated Press, LA Times, Newsweek.com, Bloomberg, Maxim, and Sports Illustrated. Pregame.com is the largest sports betting news website compliant with US Law.
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