Super Bowl Prop Bets: The Inside Story
The only sports bettor on Forbes’ recent list of Gambling Gurus, RJ Bell of Pregame.com is providing eye-popping Super Bowl XLII information found nowhere else.
Las Vegas, Nevada (1/29/08) – The Super Bowl is the biggest one-day sports betting event of the year; over 10 BILLION dollars is expected to be wagered on the game by 200 million people worldwide. A significant percentage of that will be on proposition bets (known as “props”). RJ Bell of Pregame.com said: “Nearly every conceivable stat and game result has a prop bet associated with it.”
For Super Bowl XLII, you can actually bet on how long the national anthem will take to be sung by American Idol Jordin Sparks; the over/under is one minute and 42 seconds. RJ Bell of Pregame.com said: “Research on YouTube has determined that the average time for her to sing the national anthem has historically been one minute and 39 seconds.”
You can bet what song Tom Petty will close his halftime show with (“Free Falling” is the favorite). You can bet whether this will be the most watched Super Bowl in history (YES is the big favorite). You can bet on which commercial is the most well received (Budweiser is the favorite). You can bet on how many times announcer Joe Buck will mention Payton Manning’s name (over/under is 5.5); and at http://sportsbetting.com you can bet on whether baskeball player Kobe Bryant scores more points on Sunday than the New England Patriots.
An especially interesting prop to consider is the coin flip. A coin flip is supposed to be 50/50, but numerous Las Vegas pro bettors feel otherwise; the logic being that the heads-side on a commemorative coin is heavier; physics would dictate that the extra weight on the heads-side makes it more likely to land face down – thereby making TAILS a better than 50% chance!
You can bet that the game will NOT go into overtime. You have to risk about $100 to win $10, but mathematically this may be a strong bet considering that none of 41 Super Bowls has ever gone into OT.
You can bet whether Tom Brady’s first pass will be complete. You have to risk about $30 to win $10, but mathematically this may be a strong bet considering that Tom Brady has completed his first pass in 16 of 18 games this season.
You can bet how many points will be scored in the first quarter; the over/under is 10.5 points; history makes the “under” look like a good bet. No first quarter touchdown has been scored in 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls. Inevitable nervousness, and conservative tendencies early in the game contribute to the low scoring; also keep in mind that in every NFL game except the Super Bowl the teams are allowed to “prepare” the balls before the game; not being able to do so for the Super Bowl leaves the balls very slick, making passing difficult – and scoring low.
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RJ Bell, president of http://Pregame.com, has been featured on CBS News with Katie Couric, ABC News with Charles Gibson, Nightline, Sportscenter, Outside the Lines (ESPN), First Take (ESPN2), ESPN.com, ESPN National Radio, Yahoo, AOL.com, CNN.com – and in Wall Street Journal, Associated Press, LA Times, Newsweek.com, Maxim, and Forbes.
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